Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.122296 0.141222 0.161858 0.185994 0.213416 0.243567 0.279197
2024-12-15 0.099783 0.126439 0.158006 0.198000 0.247168 0.305472 0.379674
2024-12-22 0.078323 0.107954 0.145749 0.197158 0.264881 0.350620 0.466896
2024-12-29 0.067397 0.100079 0.144576 0.208958 0.298970 0.419455 0.591852
2025-01-05 0.056692 0.090194 0.138630 0.212770 0.322141 0.476013 0.706905
2025-01-12 0.046472 0.078917 0.128551 0.208616 0.332727 0.515487 0.801840
2025-01-19 0.038989 0.070353 0.120906 0.206476 0.345243 0.558177 0.905005
2025-01-26 0.035518 0.067636 0.121843 0.217548 0.378958 0.635603 1.067782
2025-02-02 0.032339 0.064802 0.122021 0.227108 0.410919 0.712942 1.237342
2025-02-09 0.027284 0.057639 0.113591 0.220588 0.414815 0.744745 1.335532
2025-02-16 0.023727 0.052673 0.108307 0.218763 0.426256 0.789637 1.458902
2025-02-23 0.020300 0.047343 0.101512 0.213101 0.429851 0.820865 1.560903
2025-03-02 0.017571 0.043059 0.096264 0.209957 0.438206 0.862128 1.686099
2025-03-09 0.015926 0.040853 0.094900 0.214326 0.461389 0.932499 1.870418
2025-03-16 0.013661 0.036798 0.089032 0.208612 0.463936 0.964408 1.986031
2025-03-23 0.012854 0.036085 0.090346 0.218305 0.498801 1.061332 2.233622
2025-03-30 0.011631 0.034103 0.088488 0.220759 0.518716 1.130522 2.432876
2025-04-06 0.010105 0.031025 0.083590 0.215648 0.521722 1.165815 2.567456
2025-04-13 0.008921 0.028632 0.079973 0.213002 0.529761 1.211965 2.727637
2025-04-20 0.008562 0.028502 0.081995 0.224142 0.570134 1.329423 3.044858
2025-04-27 0.008150 0.028140 0.083363 0.233824 0.608074 1.444680 3.366104
2025-05-04 0.007086 0.025573 0.078485 0.227049 0.606294 1.472951 3.502675
2025-05-11 0.006340 0.023847 0.075632 0.225133 0.616004 1.527472 3.700654